Insights / Weekly Chart Notes

Charting the Course

Weekly chart-led perspectives from Significance Capital, built to help investors read the market without the noise.

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Latest Notes

The chart is the story.

Each post pairs an original Significance Capital chart with the market context behind it.

Daily NVIDIA stock chart from spring through September 2026, showing anchored VWAPs, mean reversion reference levels, and key inflection points as the price tests its prior highs.
Sep. 14, 2026NVDA: Momentum vs. Mean Reversion

The Bull, the Bear, and the Barrel

NVIDIA sits at a decision point as early signs of momentum return, while oil and interest rates complicate the broader market outlook.

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Daily chart of Russell 2000 Growth relative to Russell 1000 Growth from 2014 through September 2026, with fast and slow smoothed trends and five stars marking 150-day relative extremes.
Sep. 9, 2026Russell 2000 Growth vs. Russell 1000 Growth

Signal vs. Noise

A fifth 150-day relative extreme in small-cap versus large-cap growth puts the focus on market leadership and what the latest turn may mean for risk appetite.

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Daily chart of Russell 2000 Value relative to Russell 2000 Growth from 1997 through August 2026, including smoothed trends and major turning points.
Aug. 31, 2026Russell 2000 Value vs. Russell 2000 Growth

The Battle Rages On

Small- and large-cap growth-versus-value relationships turned together on October 29, 2025—only the third synchronized turn in nearly 30 years.

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Weekly chart comparing Significance Capital's custom AI basket with high style beta value sectors including materials, energy, and financials.
Aug. 24, 2026Custom AI vs. High Style Beta Value

Goodbye Debbie

The market is deciding between two regimes: whether the strongest AI names keep the lead or give it up to the commodity complex.

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Momentum Indicator versus SPYWeekly chart showing the Significance proprietary momentum indicator peaking on June 26, 2026 and declining while SPY advances to new highs.For Financial Professional Use Only · Not for Public DisseminationSignificance CapitalMOMENTUM INDICATOR vs. SPYSignificance proprietary momentum indicator (left axis) against SPY (right axis), weekly4877843766387543374228730237186/26/265/15/85/155/225/296/56/126/196/267/37/107/177/247/318/7Momentum IndicatorSPYSOURCE: SIGNIFICANCE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT | DATA AS OF 8/7/2026
Aug. 14, 2026Momentum Indicator vs. SPY

A Tale of Two Tails

Our proprietary momentum indicator has declined since late June even as SPY has pressed on to new highs—a widening gap we have observed around prior market tops.

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