Insights / Weekly Chart Notes
Charting the Course
Weekly chart-led perspectives from Significance Capital, built to help investors read the market without the noise.
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The chart is the story.
Each post pairs an original Significance Capital chart with the market context behind it.
From Failed Moves Come Fast Moves
A rejected rally near the June 2 mean-reversion level puts the focus on whether momentum can recover or a second leg lower is underway.
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Turn Up the Volume
An unusually heavy week of Treasury ETF selling puts the focus on whether a high-volume reversal can confirm a near-term peak in yields.
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Hollow at the Highs
A growth and momentum composite approaches its June peak below the 2021 high, putting the strength of risk appetite and market leadership in focus.
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So, the Fed Hiked. Now What?
Historical S&P 500 returns around the first Fed hike highlight why the pace of the hiking cycle matters more than the initial move.
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The Bull, the Bear, and the Barrel
NVIDIA sits at a decision point as early signs of momentum return, while oil and interest rates complicate the broader market outlook.
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Signal vs. Noise
A fifth 150-day relative extreme in small-cap versus large-cap growth puts the focus on market leadership and what the latest turn may mean for risk appetite.
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The Battle Rages On
Small- and large-cap growth-versus-value relationships turned together on October 29, 2025—only the third synchronized turn in nearly 30 years.
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Goodbye Debbie
The market is deciding between two regimes: whether the strongest AI names keep the lead or give it up to the commodity complex.
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Our proprietary momentum indicator has declined since late June even as SPY has pressed on to new highs—a widening gap we have observed around prior market tops.
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